Valmiera II 3-0 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

Valmiera II
3-0
Ogre United
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Valmiera II vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valmiera II v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 31%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.25/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.48
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Valmiera II vs Ogre United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ogre United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Ogre United 4-0 HT 3-0 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
POST-MATCH Valmiera II vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera II cruised past Ogre United 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valmiera II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Valmiera II vs Ogre United?

Valmiera II 3-0 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera II vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Valmiera II 46%, draw 28%, Ogre United 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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