Cancun FC 5-2 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 29 Sep 2024

Cancun FC
5-2 HT 3-0
Tlaxcala
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Cancun FC vs Tlaxcala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.03
No
65%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
45%
-10.1pp
65%
BTTS No
55%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cancun FC v Tlaxcala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.18/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.63
-32% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Cancun FC vs Tlaxcala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tlaxcala
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
11.01.2024 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
07.09.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
09.03.2023 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
20.07.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
07.04.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
03.11.2021 Tlaxcala 3-1 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC swept aside Tlaxcala 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cancun FC and 1.17 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Tlaxcala?

Cancun FC 5-2 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 50%, draw 25%, Tlaxcala 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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