Sliema Wanderers 2-2 Melita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.2pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.3pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Melita EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.77/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Melita
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Melita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers and Melita shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sliema Wanderers at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 60% of the ball to Melita's 40%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Melita?

Sliema Wanderers 2-2 Melita in the Malta - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Melita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 54%, draw 26%, Melita 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
29 Sep 2024
19:00 Mosta vs Birkirkara Analysis →