Mosta 0-1 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 56%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.35/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.95
+74% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
231 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Birkirkara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
21.10.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
26.04.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 4-3 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTAK
11.03.2023 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 1-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
29.10.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-2 HT 1-2 Mosta Mosta MLTP
12.12.2021 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
0-1
AWAY Birkirkara
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara edged past Mosta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mosta had 44% of the ball to Birkirkara's 56%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mosta and 1.67 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Birkirkara?

Mosta 0-1 Birkirkara in the Malta - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mosta 26%, draw 29%, Birkirkara 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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