Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.79
6+ Goals
11%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.00/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.66
-36% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
03.06.2020 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 1-2 HT 0-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
24.08.2019 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-1 HT 1-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL1
13.07.2019 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-2 HT 1-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
2-1
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz nicked a narrow win over Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 46% of the ball to Podbeskidzie Bielsko's 54%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Podbeskidzie Bielsko led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 2.00 for Podbeskidzie Bielsko.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko in the Poland - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 45%, draw 28%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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