Wisla Pulawy 1-3 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
8%
9.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 26% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
23%
+9.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Pulawy
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
11.09.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 0-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Pulawy
1-3
AWAY Polonia Bytom
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wisla Pulawy vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom beat Wisla Pulawy 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wisla Pulawy had 47% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 53%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wisla Pulawy and 1.00 for Polonia Bytom.

What was the final score of Wisla Pulawy vs Polonia Bytom?

Wisla Pulawy 1-3 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Pulawy vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wisla Pulawy 33%, draw 26%, Polonia Bytom 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ BTTS Yes
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