Neftekhimik vs FK Rodina Moskva Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neftekhimik v FK Rodina Moskva — Team-Based Signals
Neftekhimik vs FK Rodina Moskva Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-2
FK Rodina Moskva
RUS1
1-5
HT 1-1
FK Rodina Moskva
RUS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Neftekhimik
RUS1
Neftekhimik 2-1 FK Rodina Moskva — Actual Match Statistics
Neftekhimik squeezed past FK Rodina Moskva 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Neftekhimik made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Neftekhimik had 37% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 63%, shots finished 6-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Neftekhimik and 3.00 for FK Rodina Moskva.
What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs FK Rodina Moskva?
Neftekhimik 2-1 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs FK Rodina Moskva?
Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 34%, draw 27%, FK Rodina Moskva 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.