Krylya Sovetov 0-0 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.65
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.42
X/2
11%
7.41
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.43
2/X
4%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.67/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.90
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.7 Crosses 12.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Khimki
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.42 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov HAZ
15.04.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
10.09.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
24.04.2022 Khimki Khimki 4-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
06.11.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-0 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
22.02.2021 Khimki Khimki 0-4 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0-0
AWAY Khimki
0.93 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
437 Passes 376
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 26
28 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov and Khimki played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Krylya Sovetov at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 54% of the ball to Khimki's 46%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.93 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 0.67 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Khimki?

Krylya Sovetov 0-0 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 44%, draw 24%, Khimki 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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