Makhachkala 0-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.33
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
7%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.12
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
8%
8.05
X/2
14%
4.2
X/X
16%
4.84
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.48
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.0
Value flag · 2/X at 14.0 — our 9% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
25%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 54%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
0.18/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.12
-14% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
18.0 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 2-2 HT 1-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
14.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
0.45 xG 1.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
210 Passes 303
62% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Makhachkala vs Dinamo Moscow
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Dinamo Moscow edged past Makhachkala 1-0 away from home in the Russia - Premier League on 29 Sep 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Makhachkala had 45% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 55%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.45 to 1.02.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow lead the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Makhachkala and 2.00 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Dinamo Moscow?

Makhachkala 0-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 20%, draw 31%, Dinamo Moscow 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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