Jedinstvo Ub 2-0 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 46%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.48/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.13
-18% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
8.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 13.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
2-0
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.45 xG 0.47
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
338 Passes 204
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jedinstvo Ub vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jedinstvo Ub got the better of Spartak Subotica 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Jedinstvo Ub made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Jedinstvo Ub had 58% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 42%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.45 to 0.47.

What was the final score of Jedinstvo Ub vs Spartak Subotica?

Jedinstvo Ub 2-0 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jedinstvo Ub vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jedinstvo Ub 30%, draw 31%, Spartak Subotica 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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