Mladost Lucani 1-3 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 53%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.10/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.12
+25% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.6
21.3 Crosses 21.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.82 xG 3.13
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
170 Passes 435
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 43
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 3-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
17.03.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
07.10.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
12.03.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
11.09.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 6-0 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.03.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-1 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-3
AWAY FK Partizan
1.78 xG 1.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
395 Passes 402
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan saw off Mladost Lucani 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 50% of the ball to FK Partizan's 50%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.78 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mladost Lucani and 2.83 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan?

Mladost Lucani 1-3 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 28%, draw 29%, FK Partizan 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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