Esenler Erokspor 4-0 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.56
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.4
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
8%
7.49
X/2
18%
4.52
X/X
17%
4.84
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.66
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
Crosses 10.7
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
4-0
AWAY Pendikspor
2.88 xG 1.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
181 Passes 394
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor cruised past Pendikspor 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pendikspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 36% of the ball to Pendikspor's 64%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.88 to 1.17.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Pendikspor?

Esenler Erokspor 4-0 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 27%, draw 28%, Pendikspor 45%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pendikspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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