İnegölspor 1-0 Kepezspor FAŞ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kepezspor FAŞ EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İnegölspor
1-0
AWAY Kepezspor FAŞ
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İnegölspor vs Kepezspor FAŞ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İnegölspor edged past Kepezspor FAŞ 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had İnegölspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İnegölspor had 57% of the ball to Kepezspor FAŞ's 43%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of İnegölspor vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

İnegölspor 1-0 Kepezspor FAŞ in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İnegölspor vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

Before kick-off our model rated a İnegölspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İnegölspor 42%, draw 28%, Kepezspor FAŞ 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İnegölspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İnegölspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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