Altay 3-3 Fethiyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.7pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altay EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fethiyespor EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altay
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Fethiyespor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
04.03.2018 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Altay Altay S2-B
14.10.2017 Altay Altay 2-1 HT 0-1 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor S2-B
01.11.2012 Altay Altay 1-0 HT 0-0 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altay
3-3
AWAY Fethiyespor
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altay vs Fethiyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altay and Fethiyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Altay had 59% of the ball to Fethiyespor's 41%, shots finished 14-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Altay had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Altay and 0.67 for Fethiyespor.

What was the final score of Altay vs Fethiyespor?

Altay 3-3 Fethiyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altay vs Fethiyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altay win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Altay 38%, draw 29%, Fethiyespor 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Altay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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