Botafogo SP vs Ferroviaria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Botafogo SP v Ferroviaria — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo SP vs Ferroviaria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Botafogo SP 1-2 Ferroviaria — Actual Match Statistics
Ferroviaria edged past Botafogo SP 2-1 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Ferroviaria made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (64%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Botafogo SP had 56% of the ball to Ferroviaria's 44%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.59 to 2.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ferroviaria's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferroviaria led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.83 for Ferroviaria.
Botafogo SP vs Ferroviaria Result & Final Score
Botafogo SP 1 - 2 Ferroviaria in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Botafogo SP vs Ferroviaria Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 40%, draw 33%, Ferroviaria 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.