Amazonas 1-3 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.39
Draw
31%
3.02
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.58
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.23
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
15%
4.84
6+
3%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Amazonas The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense The Market 34%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Chapecoense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 1.27
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
399 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2025 Chapecoense Chapecoense 4-0 HT 2-0 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
27.09.2024 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-0 HT 0-0 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
14.06.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 0-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1 - 3
AWAY Chapecoense
1.20 xG 2.12
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
285 Passes 197
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 22
32 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Amazonas vs Chapecoense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chapecoense had too much for Amazonas 3-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

From a near-even 39% / 31% / 30% read, it was Chapecoense who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (62%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Amazonas had 57% of the ball to Chapecoense's 43%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 1.20 to 2.12.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chapecoense led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Amazonas and 2.33 for Chapecoense.

Amazonas vs Chapecoense Result & Final Score

Amazonas 1 - 3 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Amazonas vs Chapecoense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 39%, draw 31%, Chapecoense 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amazonas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
29 Sep 2025
00:00 Remo vs CRB Analysis →
00:30 Botafogo SP vs Ferroviaria Analysis →
02:30 Cuiaba vs Athletic Club Analysis →