Guastatoya 3-2 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aurora
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.07.2025 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya squeezed past Aurora 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Guastatoya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Aurora?

Guastatoya 3-2 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 37%, draw 31%, Aurora 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guastatoya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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