Walter Ferretti 3-2 Real Madriz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.25
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
35%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
76%
-1.7pp
14%
Draw
15%
-0.9pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madriz EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
2.54/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.95
+12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -25%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
487 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Madriz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.07.2025 Real Madriz Real Madriz 2-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
14.03.2022 Real Madriz Real Madriz 0-2 HT 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
23.01.2022 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
02.10.2021 Real Madriz Real Madriz 3-1 HT 1-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
01.08.2021 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 4-1 HT 3-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
07.03.2021 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
3-2
AWAY Real Madriz
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Real Madriz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti squeezed past Real Madriz 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 58% of the ball to Real Madriz's 42%, shots finished 12-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.00 for Real Madriz.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Real Madriz?

Walter Ferretti 3-2 Real Madriz in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Real Madriz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 74%, draw 14%, Real Madriz 11%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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