Managua 4-2 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.98/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.74
+17% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Export Sebaco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.04.2024 Managua Managua 1-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-3 HT 0-1 Managua Managua NİK
09.10.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
13.08.2023 Managua Managua 3-4 HT 1-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
17.04.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
4-2
AWAY Export Sebaco
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Managua vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua saw off Export Sebaco 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Managua as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Managua had 53% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 47%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Managua and 1.67 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Managua 4-2 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Managua 47%, draw 25%, Export Sebaco 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Managua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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