Odds BK 1-0 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 30% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odds BK EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.66/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.30
+16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odds BK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aalesund
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
468 Passes 263
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.06.2025 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR1
03.12.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 4-1 HT 2-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
16.07.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 0-3 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
28.08.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 1-1 HT 1-1 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
23.04.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 2-3 HT 0-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
25.10.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 0-3 HT 0-1 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odds BK
1-0
AWAY Aalesund
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odds BK vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odds BK edged past Aalesund 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aalesund at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Odds BK had 59% of the ball to Aalesund's 41%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odds BK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Odds BK and 1.00 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Odds BK vs Aalesund?

Odds BK 1-0 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odds BK vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Odds BK 27%, draw 28%, Aalesund 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aalesund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
29 Sep 2025
20:00 Moss vs Lilleström Analysis →
20:00 Hodd vs Lyn Oslo Analysis →
20:00 Raufoss vs Ranheim Analysis →