Skedsmo 2-1 Stromsgodset II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
14.75
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
43%
3.14
4-5 Goals
26%
2.23
6+ Goals
15%
2.31
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.14 — our 43% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.4pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.1pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skedsmo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.80/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.63/2.92
-55% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skedsmo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stromsgodset II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II 5-3 HT 3-2 Skedsmo Skedsmo NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skedsmo
2-1
AWAY Stromsgodset II
47% Ball Possession 53%
25 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Skedsmo vs Stromsgodset II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skedsmo edged past Stromsgodset II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stromsgodset II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Skedsmo had 47% of the ball to Stromsgodset II's 53%, shots finished 25-10.

What was the final score of Skedsmo vs Stromsgodset II?

Skedsmo 2-1 Stromsgodset II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skedsmo vs Stromsgodset II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stromsgodset II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Skedsmo 32%, draw 17%, Stromsgodset II 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stromsgodset II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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