Stabaek II 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
14%
4.19
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.33
No
43%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
3%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.0pp
14%
Draw
21%
-6.5pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.9pp
43%
BTTS No
29%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.81/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/3.24
-27% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2025 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 2-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek II Stabaek II NOR4
POST-MATCH Stabaek II vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek II nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 II 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stabaek II as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Stabaek II vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Stabaek II 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek II vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Stabaek II 59%, draw 14%, Sarpsborg 08 II 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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