Zaglebie Lubin 4-0 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Sep 2025

Zaglebie Lubin
4-0 HT 4-0
Arka Gdynia
📅29/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Zaglebie Lubin vs Arka Gdynia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.93
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.73
X/2
8%
6.96
X/X
11%
4.35
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.32
2/X
8%
13.95
Value flag · X/1 at 4.73 — our 25% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zaglebie Lubin v Arka Gdynia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.33/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.08
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.6 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.5

Zaglebie Lubin vs Arka Gdynia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
401 Passes 370
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.12.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-1 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POLK
23.06.2020 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 3-2 HT 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
13.12.2019 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-1 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
10.08.2019 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
17.03.2019 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
07.10.2018 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 3-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL

Zaglebie Lubin 4-0 Arka Gdynia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
4-0
AWAY Arka Gdynia
1.22 xG 0.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
238 Passes 410
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin ran out comfortable winners over Arka Gdynia 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zaglebie Lubin as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 40% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 60%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.22 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.67 for Arka Gdynia.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Arka Gdynia?

Zaglebie Lubin 4-0 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 48%, draw 24%, Arka Gdynia 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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