Motor Lublin 2-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.11
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.29
X/2
9%
6.56
X/X
9%
5.03
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
15%
4.35
2/X
8%
12.85
Value flag · X/1 at 5.29 — our 21% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -13%
1.25/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
-12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.8 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.12 xG 1.74
46% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 350
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.05.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-3 HT 0-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
02.12.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
02.02.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
2-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
0.85 xG 1.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
325 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin and Radomiak Radom shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Motor Lublin at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 54% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 46%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 0.85 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Motor Lublin had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Motor Lublin and 1.33 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom?

Motor Lublin 2-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 45%, draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motor Lublin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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