Scunthorpe United 6-0 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.32
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 31% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
71%
-18.7pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.3pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 14%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.89/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.81
-4% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Farsley AFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-2 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
26.12.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 2-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
6-0
AWAY Farsley AFC
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United swept aside Farsley AFC 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 56% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 44%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Scunthorpe United and 0.00 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Farsley AFC?

Scunthorpe United 6-0 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 52%, draw 28%, Farsley AFC 20%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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