Bath City 0-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.81
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +10%
1.30/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.54
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Worthing
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.03.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-2 HT 1-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
28.10.2023 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
14.10.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City FAK
11.03.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-3 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
29.12.2022 Bath City Bath City 2-2 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
0-2
AWAY Worthing
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing beat Bath City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Worthing found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bath City had 43% of the ball to Worthing's 57%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Bath City and 2.00 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Worthing?

Bath City 0-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bath City 37%, draw 30%, Worthing 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bath City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bath City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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