Patro Eisden 4-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 25% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -55%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden swept aside Sporting Charleroi 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Patro Eisden made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Sporting Charleroi?

Patro Eisden 4-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 32%, draw 28%, Sporting Charleroi 40%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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