Westerlo 2-1 RWDM 47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 29 Oct 2024

Westerlo
2-1 HT 1-0
RWDM 47
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Cup – 2024/2025

Westerlo vs RWDM 47 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.81
6+ Goals
9%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.82 — our 30% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.7pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v RWDM 47 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 26%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.81/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-6% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Westerlo vs RWDM 47 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY RWDM 47
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
362 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-0 HT 1-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
21.10.2023 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 1-1 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
16.04.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
25.01.2022 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL2
17.10.2021 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 1-2 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL2
20.08.2021 Westerlo Westerlo 0-0 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs RWDM 47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo nicked a narrow win over RWDM 47 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Westerlo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Westerlo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Westerlo and 0.67 for RWDM 47.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs RWDM 47?

Westerlo 2-1 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs RWDM 47?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 45%, draw 27%, RWDM 47 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Westerlo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Westerlo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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