Santa Cruz 1-1 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 29 Oct 2024

Santa Cruz
1-1 HT 0-0
Universitario de Vinto
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Vinto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Cruz v Universitario de Vinto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 30%
+14% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.01/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.81
+16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
13.3 Crosses 12.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Vinto Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.49 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
237 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.07.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
25.11.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
29.05.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ

Santa Cruz 1-1 Universitario de Vinto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
1-1
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
0.48 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
176 Passes 253
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz and Universitario de Vinto couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 43% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 57%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.48 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Santa Cruz and 0.67 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Vinto?

Santa Cruz 1-1 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 37%, draw 26%, Universitario de Vinto 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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