Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.2pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
1-0
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance nicked a narrow win over Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 57% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 43%, shots finished 5-4.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 50%, draw 31%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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