Fasil Ketema 0-1 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
0-1
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema nicked a narrow win over Fasil Ketema 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Fasil Ketema at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 63% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 37%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Fasil Ketema 0-1 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 42%, draw 26%, Arba Minch Kenema 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fasil Ketema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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