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İtalya (K) vs İspanya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İtalya (K) v İspanya (K) — Team-Based Signals
İtalya (K) vs İspanya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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2-3
HT 1-0
İtalya (K)
AVKUL
0-1
HT 0-0
İspanya (K)
AVKUL
1-1
HT 0-0
İspanya (K)
HAZ
İtalya (K) 1-1 İspanya (K) — Actual Match Statistics
İtalya (K) and İspanya (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. İspanya (K) carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, İtalya (K) had 35% of the ball to İspanya (K)'s 65%, shots finished 8-27, expected goals 0.59 to 3.00.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İtalya (K) and 1.33 for İspanya (K).
What was the final score of İtalya (K) vs İspanya (K)?
İtalya (K) 1-1 İspanya (K) in the Friendlies on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İtalya (K) vs İspanya (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split İtalya (K) 24%, draw 21%, İspanya (K) 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (İspanya (K)), BTTS No went the other way.