Danimarka (K) 1-2 Hollanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.53
2-3 Goals
49%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
8%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka (K)
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Hollanda (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.29 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.11.2022 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) HAZ
09.10.2018 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) KDK
02.03.2018 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 2-3 HT 2-1 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) Dünya - Kadınlar Algarve Kupası
06.08.2017 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 4-2 HT 2-2 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) ABK
20.07.2017 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka (K)
1-2
AWAY Hollanda (K)
0.78 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
397 Passes 555
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Danimarka (K) vs Hollanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda (K) nicked a narrow win over Danimarka (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hollanda (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Danimarka (K) had 43% of the ball to Hollanda (K)'s 57%, shots finished 3-9, expected goals 0.78 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hollanda (K) led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Danimarka (K) and 2.40 for Hollanda (K).

What was the final score of Danimarka (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Danimarka (K) 1-2 Hollanda (K) in the Friendlies on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danimarka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Danimarka (K) 39%, draw 25%, Hollanda (K) 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Danimarka (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danimarka (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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