Fas (K) 7-0 Senegal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Senegal (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+76% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas (K)
7-0
AWAY Senegal (K)
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fas (K) vs Senegal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas (K) ran out comfortable winners over Senegal (K) 7-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fas (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Fas (K) had 52% of the ball to Senegal (K)'s 48%, shots finished 11-4.

What was the final score of Fas (K) vs Senegal (K)?

Fas (K) 7-0 Senegal (K) in the Friendlies on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas (K) vs Senegal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fas (K) 53%, draw 26%, Senegal (K) 22%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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