AFC Bournemouth U21 3-1 Millwall U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
56%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
56%
Away Win
53%
+2.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-9.9pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Millwall U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.01.2024 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 2-3 HT 1-1 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 INGPDL
30.10.2023 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Millwall U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 got the better of Millwall U21 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Millwall U21 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Bournemouth U21 and 2.00 for Millwall U21.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Millwall U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 3-1 Millwall U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Millwall U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millwall U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 22%, draw 22%, Millwall U21 56%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Millwall U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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