Ukrayna (K) 2-0 Türkiye (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ukrayna (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Türkiye (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.10.2024 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Ukrayna (K) Ukrayna (K) KAVŞE
21.09.2021 Ukrayna (K) Ukrayna (K) 1-0 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna (K)
2-0
AWAY Türkiye (K)
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ukrayna (K) vs Türkiye (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna (K) got the better of Türkiye (K) 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ukrayna (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ukrayna (K) had 48% of the ball to Türkiye (K)'s 52%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ukrayna (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ukrayna (K) and 0.50 for Türkiye (K).

What was the final score of Ukrayna (K) vs Türkiye (K)?

Ukrayna (K) 2-0 Türkiye (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna (K) vs Türkiye (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ukrayna (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna (K) 39%, draw 30%, Türkiye (K) 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ukrayna (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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