Cusco FC 0-1 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Oct 2024

Cusco FC
0-1 HT 0-1
Atletico Grau
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2024

Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cusco FC v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.38/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.55
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.1 Crosses 15.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
250 Passes 277
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.05.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 3-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
21.09.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
29.04.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
10.10.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER

Cusco FC 0-1 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
0-1
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.81 xG 0.63
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
419 Passes 222
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau nicked a narrow win over Cusco FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cusco FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cusco FC had 63% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 37%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 0.81 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Cusco FC and 2.00 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau?

Cusco FC 0-1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 41%, draw 32%, Atletico Grau 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cusco FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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