Union Atletico 0-2 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 29 Oct 2025

Union Atletico
0-2 HT 0-2
Ceuta
📅29/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Copa del Rey – 2025/2026

Union Atletico vs Ceuta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
56%
Away Win
59%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Atletico v Ceuta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / –
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
207 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Union Atletico 0-2 Ceuta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Atletico
0-2
AWAY Ceuta
1.11 xG 1.61
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
158 Passes 389
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Atletico vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta beat Union Atletico 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Union Atletico had 35% of the ball to Ceuta's 65%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.11 to 1.61.

What was the final score of Union Atletico vs Ceuta?

Union Atletico 0-2 Ceuta in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Atletico vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Union Atletico 18%, draw 26%, Ceuta 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSPK More Spain - Copa del Rey
29 Oct 2025
20:00 Poblense vs Sabadell Analysis →
21:00 Los Garres vs Elche Analysis →
21:00 Mutilvera vs Real Zaragoza Analysis →
21:00 CE Sant Jordi vs Osasuna Analysis →
21:00 Ebro vs Tarazona Analysis →
22:00 Atlètic Sant Just vs Mallorca Analysis →