Genk 3-0 RWDM Brussels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
68%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Genk win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
70%
-2.1pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.6pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM Brussels EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.19/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
4W-0D-2L
AWAY RWDM Brussels
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.04.2008 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 2-1 RWDM Brussels RWDM Brussels BEL
08.12.2007 RWDM Brussels RWDM Brussels 0-5 HT 0-5 Genk Genk BEL
19.05.2007 RWDM Brussels RWDM Brussels 3-1 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
16.12.2006 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 1-0 RWDM Brussels RWDM Brussels BEL
01.04.2006 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 RWDM Brussels RWDM Brussels BEL
29.10.2005 RWDM Brussels RWDM Brussels 1-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
3-0
AWAY RWDM Brussels
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs RWDM Brussels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk cruised past RWDM Brussels 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Genk had 67% of the ball to RWDM Brussels's 33%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Genk and 1.00 for RWDM Brussels.

What was the final score of Genk vs RWDM Brussels?

Genk 3-0 RWDM Brussels in the Belgium - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs RWDM Brussels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Genk 68%, draw 17%, RWDM Brussels 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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