Tubize 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
16.01
Draw
16%
7.13
Away OUR CALL
67%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Union Saint-Gilloise win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
4%
+13.3pp
16%
Draw
11%
+5.0pp
67%
Away Win
85%
-18.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.6pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tubize EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
217 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tubize
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
03.10.2015 Tubize Tubize 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tubize
0-3
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Tubize vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise swept aside Tubize 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Tubize had 33% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 67%, shots finished 6-22.

What was the final score of Tubize vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Tubize 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tubize vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Tubize 17%, draw 16%, Union Saint-Gilloise 67%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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