Motagua 1-3 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 27%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.87/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.08
+24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.0 Crosses 23.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CS Cartagines
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua CONOAK
15.08.2025 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motagua
1-3
AWAY CS Cartagines
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Cartagines got the better of Motagua 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Motagua at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motagua had 55% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 45%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CS Cartagines led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Motagua and 0.50 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CS Cartagines?

Motagua 1-3 CS Cartagines in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Motagua 49%, draw 29%, CS Cartagines 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motagua), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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