Umm Salal 2-3 Al Muaidar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.61
6+ Goals
17%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-4.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 30%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.57/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.02
+3% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.2 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Muaidar
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
232 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KAT
11.11.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 3-4 HT 0-3 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
02.11.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 1-3 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
11.01.2014 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 0-4 HT 0-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
2-3
AWAY Al Muaidar
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Muaidar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Muaidar nicked a narrow win over Umm Salal 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Umm Salal at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Umm Salal had 43% of the ball to Al Muaidar's 57%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Umm Salal had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Umm Salal and 1.50 for Al Muaidar.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Muaidar?

Umm Salal 2-3 Al Muaidar in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Muaidar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 54%, draw 24%, Al Muaidar 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Umm Salal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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