Avia Swidnik 3-0 Flota Swinoujscie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
8%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
55%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avia Swidnik EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Flota Swinoujscie EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avia Swidnik
3-0
AWAY Flota Swinoujscie
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avia Swidnik vs Flota Swinoujscie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avia Swidnik swept aside Flota Swinoujscie 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avia Swidnik as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avia Swidnik had 44% of the ball to Flota Swinoujscie's 56%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Avia Swidnik vs Flota Swinoujscie?

Avia Swidnik 3-0 Flota Swinoujscie in the Poland - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avia Swidnik vs Flota Swinoujscie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avia Swidnik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Avia Swidnik 45%, draw 26%, Flota Swinoujscie 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avia Swidnik) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avia Swidnik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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