Puszcza Niepolomice 1-3 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.15/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.71
+69% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +73%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.92 xG 1.58
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
189 Passes 340
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-2 HT 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
16.08.2024 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 4-1 HT 2-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
09.02.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 3-1 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POLK
12.08.2015 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-5 HT 1-3 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
1-3
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk got the better of Puszcza Niepolomice 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lechia Gdansk as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 43% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 57%, shots finished 5-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Puszcza Niepolomice had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.75 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lechia Gdansk?

Puszcza Niepolomice 1-3 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 24%, draw 27%, Lechia Gdansk 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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