Lechia Gdansk 0-2 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 23 Feb 2025

Lechia Gdansk
0-2 HT 0-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepolomice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.49
X/2
15%
8.55
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
7%
6.49
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lechia Gdansk v Puszcza Niepolomice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.38/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.59
-19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.7 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepolomice Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.19 xG 2.38
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
363 Passes 235
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 4-1 HT 2-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
09.02.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 3-1 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POLK
12.08.2015 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-5 HT 1-3 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POLK

Lechia Gdansk 0-2 Puszcza Niepolomice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
0-2
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.97 xG 1.47
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
317 Passes 143
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
33 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice saw off Lechia Gdansk 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lechia Gdansk at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 64% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 36%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.97 to 1.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lechia Gdansk.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Puszcza Niepolomice led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 2.67 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Lechia Gdansk 0-2 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 43%, draw 29%, Puszcza Niepolomice 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lechia Gdansk), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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