Egaleo 1-3 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
65%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.67
No
46%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
6%
+6.7pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
65%
Away Win
76%
-10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
33%
+21.1pp
46%
BTTS No
67%
-21.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egaleo EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 79%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.91
-100% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
187 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egaleo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 10
20.01.2007 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-1 HT 3-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
10.09.2006 Egaleo Egaleo 1-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
17.04.2005 Egaleo Egaleo 2-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
11.12.2004 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-0 HT 0-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
07.12.2003 Egaleo Egaleo 3-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
09.02.2003 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 1-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Egaleo
1-3
AWAY Aris Saloniki
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Egaleo vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki saw off Egaleo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Egaleo had 47% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 53%, shots finished 6-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Egaleo and 1.33 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Egaleo vs Aris Saloniki?

Egaleo 1-3 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egaleo vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Egaleo 13%, draw 22%, Aris Saloniki 65%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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