PAOK 4-1 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.25
Draw
12%
5.28
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
76%
+2.7pp
12%
Draw
16%
-4.0pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.46/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/3.33
+42% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
403 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AE Larissa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.44 xG 0.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
470 Passes 203
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 4
32 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
22.12.2021 PAOK PAOK 3-1 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUK
01.12.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
03.02.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-2 HT 1-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
20.01.2021 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUK
03.01.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
4-1
AWAY AE Larissa
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PAOK vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK cruised past AE Larissa 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, PAOK had 70% of the ball to AE Larissa's 30%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for PAOK and 0.67 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of PAOK vs AE Larissa?

PAOK 4-1 AE Larissa in the Greece - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split PAOK 78%, draw 12%, AE Larissa 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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