Cagliari vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cagliari v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals
Cagliari vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Cagliari
İTA
1-2
HT 0-2
Hellas Verona
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Cagliari
İTA
0-2
HT 0-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Cagliari
İTA
Cagliari 1-0 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics
Cagliari nicked a narrow win over Hellas Verona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cagliari as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Cagliari had 64% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 36%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.83 to 0.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cagliari and 1.33 for Hellas Verona.
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
Cagliari 1-0 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 43%, draw 26%, Hellas Verona 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.