Cagliari 1-1 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.31
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.64
X/2
10%
7.09
X/X
14%
3.9
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
10%
5.48
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.89/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.26
+17% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
27.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
256 Passes 341
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
30.04.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-2 HT 0-2 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
30.11.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
03.04.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 0-2 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
06.12.2020 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
25.11.2020 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
1-1
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.64 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
251 Passes 244
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari and Hellas Verona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cagliari at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cagliari had 51% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 49%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.64 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cagliari and 1.33 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?

Cagliari 1-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 45%, draw 29%, Hellas Verona 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cagliari) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cagliari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
1 Apr 2024
13:30 Bologna vs Salernitana Analysis →
16:00 Sassuolo vs Udinese Analysis →
19:00 Lecce vs Roma Analysis →
21:45 Inter vs Empoli Analysis →