Lecce vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lecce v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Lecce vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Lecce
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Roma
İTA
2-1
HT 1-1
Lecce
İTA
3-1
HT 1-1
Lecce
İTK
4-0
HT 2-0
Lecce
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
Lecce 0-0 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Lecce and Roma played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Roma at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Lecce had 40% of the ball to Roma's 60%, shots finished 27-10, expected goals 1.82 to 1.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lecce and 2.17 for Roma.
What was the final score of Lecce vs Roma?
Lecce 0-0 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lecce vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lecce 32%, draw 25%, Roma 43%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.